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Radio-Werte sind immer 1...5 oder 1...10 -
Weiß nicht
ist dann bspw. 9 und keine Antwort
ist 10
Sonst Fehlergefahr
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Set ah=30
and ahV=25
in the debugging console, to change the chart
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Die Berechnung erfolgt in echart-config.mjs
pComputeData()...
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Rendite und Standardabweichung der Aktien-Anlage:
Detaillierte Diskussion unten: [MSCI world returns and sigma]
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Which deflated returns should we use for the safe asset (mnbd1
)?
Currently its set to 1 percent.
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Bei Anlagehorizont von 10 Jahren dominieren die Einzahlungen.
Die relativ höhere Aktien-Rendite schlägt nach 30 oder 40 Jahren viel stärker durch.
Spaßeshalber kann az = 50
gesetzt werden.
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Y-Max wird ab 40 TSD dynamisch erhöht - in Schritten von 40.000.
Vertikale Abstände einerseits nicht zu klein.
Andererseits sollen sie nicht nach oben ausbrechen.
Anlagehorizont
nicht in die Mitte, sondern mehr nach rechts? Bei 80%?
MSCI world returns and sigma
https://investingintheweb.com/blog/msci-world-index-historical-data/
In Dollar, in the last 10 years (to April 30th, 2023), the MSCI World Index has had an annualised return of 9.29%
(MSCI World Total Net Return).
$100 invested on April 30th, 2013, would be worth $243 on April 30th, 2023.
1,0929^10=2,43
In Dollar, in the last 37 years to 1987, the MSCI World Index has had an annualised return of 8.06%
(MSCI World Total Net Return).
1,0806^37=17,6
Annualised standard deviation of 14.62%
Inflation rate for the US has been roughly 2.60% during the same period
Sharpe ratio of 0.61 - Überrendite bei vergleichbarem Risiko
In Euro, for last 10 years to 2013, the MSCI World Index in EUR has had an annualised return of 9.09%.
1,0909^10=2,39
In Euro, for last 25 years to 1998, the MSCI World Index in EUR has had an annualised return of 5.90%.
1,059^25=4,19
90 percent confidene interval is 1.645 standard deviations from the mean;
https://i1.wp.com/makemeanalyst.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/05/Confidence-Coefficients-for-90-Confidence.png?resize=760%2C492
https://www.companisto.com/en/academy/recht-steuern-und-hilfsthemen/bruttorendite-vs-nettorendite-wie-wird-der-ertrag-richtig-gemessen
gross return
% taxation, inflation, costs (management fees)
net return or real return or Total Net Return
MCI world standard deviation - 2024-01
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/MSCI_World#Berechnung
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aktienindex#Performanceindex
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stock_market_index
https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total-Return-Index
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Standard_deviation
MSCI world total return index sigma
MSCI world total return index Variance
MSCI world total return index Standard deviation
https://investingintheweb.com/blog/msci-world-index-historical-data/
MSCI World Total Net Return - Standard deviation (yearly)
annualised standard deviation of 14.99%
Annualised standard deviation of an retaining stock fund
The annualized standard deviation of daily returns is calculated as follows:
Annualized Standard Deviation = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns * Square Root (250)
Standard deviation of 20 draws - variance of the product
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https://math.stackexchange.com/questions/2935743/
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expection of the product of two random variables
E[XY]=E[X]⋅E[Y]
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variance of the product of two random variables
Var[X]⋅Var[Y]+VarY2+VarX2
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if Var[X]=Var[Y]=vr and E[X]=E[Y]=mn
vrvr + (vrmn)^2 + (vrmn)^2
vr^2 + 2(vrmn)^2
vr^2 + 2vr^2 mn^2
vr^2(1 + 2mn^2)
vr^3(1 + 2mn^2 + 4mn^4)
Annualised standard deviation of 14.62% equals 0.1462
=> 20 draws => 0,1462 * sqrt(20)
=> 20 draws => 0,1462 * 4,472136
=> 20 draws => 0,6538